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Friday, June 06, 2008

Next year in Jerusalem?

Jerusalem The precise status of Jerusalem has been the focus of blow-torch hot debate continuously since it was captured (or liberated or re-captured, there's argument even about that) by Israel in the 1967 Six-Day War.

Israel, pointing to historic Jewish ties to the ancient city going back to the 10th Century BC, considers Jerusalem to be its modern capital. Indeed, the distantly subsidiary issue of when and whether the U.S. will officially move its embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem has itself been the subject of years of national and international debate, and even of legislation passed by Congress in 1995 (supposedly compelling a move that, once again this week, has been suspended for yet another six months). Palestinians consider Jerusalem to be the capital of Palestine, however, and continue to demand its "return."

I mean no offense to anyone, but if you didn't already know this, you cannot consider yourself even moderately well informed on Middle East diplomacy in particular or world history in general. Jerusalem is a hot-button issue. Any American politician or diplomat who ventures to talk about Jerusalem's future is rolling sideways through a minefield.

But now somebody is running for president on a platform which promises that through smart and tough diplomacy, he's going to fix all the Middle East's problems that poor damn dumb George W. Bush has just willfully ignored for seven years. He's bringing us change you can believe in! So he shows up to woo the American Israel Public Affairs Committee on Wednesday of this week, and here's what happens, according to WaPo's Dana Milbank (boldface mine):

A mere 12 hours after claiming the Democratic presidential nomination, Barack Obama appeared before the American Israel Public Affairs Committee yesterday — and changed himself into an Israel hard-liner.

He promised $30 billion in military assistance for Israel. He declared that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps' Quds Force has "rightly been labeled a terrorist organization." [*Cough!* — Beldar] He used terms such as "false prophets of extremism" and "corrupt" while discussing Palestinians. And [Obama] promised that "Jerusalem will remain the capital of Israel, and it must remain undivided."

Us_israel_flagpinVowing to stop Tehran from getting a nuclear weapon, the newly minted nominee apparent added: "I will always keep the threat of military action on the table to defend our security and our ally, Israel. Do not be confused."

How could they be confused? As a pandering performance, it was the full Monty by a candidate who, during the primary, had positioned himself to Hillary Clinton's left on matters such as Iran. Yesterday, Obama, who has generally declined to wear an American-flag lapel pin, wore a joint U.S.-Israeli [flag] pin, and even tried a Hebrew phrase on the crowd.

Brilliant public diplomacy, no? Surely the reasonable leaders who purport to represent the Palestinian people must have been persuaded by this dazzling, diplomatic young American with the multi-cultural name and heritage, no?

No.

A day later, offstage (and with news of his retreat buried by his MSM friends on places like page A6 of the WaPo), Diplomat-in-Chief Obama has to back down with his tail between his legs (boldface mine):

Facing criticism from Palestinians, Sen. Barack Obama acknowledged yesterday that the status of Jerusalem will need to be negotiated in future peace talks, amending a statement earlier in the week that the city "must remain undivided."

Obama's statement, made during a speech Wednesday to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, a pro-Israel lobbying group, drew a swift rebuke from Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas.

"This statement is totally rejected," Abbas told reporters in the West Bank city of Ramallah. "The whole world knows that holy Jerusalem was occupied in 1967, and we will not accept a Palestinian state without having Jerusalem as the capital of a Palestinian state."

The Bush administration's official position is that the status of Jerusalem must be decided by the parties. Before he left office, President Bill Clinton proposed a formula under which "Jerusalem should be an open and undivided city," including locating the Palestinian capital in East Jerusalem.

Obama quickly backtracked yesterday in an interview with CNN.

"Well, obviously, it's going to be up to the parties to negotiate a range of these issues. And Jerusalem will be part of those negotiations," Obama said when asked whether Palestinians had no future claim to the city.

Yes, that damned, dumb, undiplomatic George W. Bush is sure holding up the works in achieving Middle East peace. It's a good thing that Obama will be bringing us change we can believe in — typically from one of his own half-baked positions to some different one, often within 24 hours. In this instance, Obama's latest "change" is to precisely the position on Jerusalem that Dubya has held continuously through the last seven years.

Genius! Insightful! How has the world managed without Diplomat-in-Chief Obama for so long?

--------------

UPDATE (Sat Jun 7 @ wee-small-hours): Aliens appear to have kidnapped James Taranto and replaced him with a facsimile programmed to issue pro-Obama non sequiturs. I pray for his escape. (And to put it mildly, I disagree with his essay on Obama's "Jerusalem kerfuffle," which lurches to a conclusion inconsistent with either its own premises or his usual good judgment.) To the extent Taranto is back-handedly saying that Dubya's policy (which Obama flip-flopped into) is reasonable, he's right. Praising Obama's method of getting there, though, and failing to recognize his inconsistency in route, is over-generous to the rookie diplomat, for its his consistency in judgment that is precisely at issue.

Posted by Beldar at 03:48 AM in 2008 Election, Current Affairs, Obama, Politics (2008) | Permalink

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Comments

(1) hunter made the following comment | Jun 6, 2008 7:26:57 AM | Permalink

In Barakistan, that is called great leadership.
In the real world, that is weak feckless pandering.

(2) Scott Jacobs made the following comment | Jun 6, 2008 8:25:47 AM | Permalink

It continues to terrify me that this man is considered the best the Dems have.

Honestly, he's an idiot... How the hell did he get a law degree? Do they just hand them out to any yahoo who asks?

(3) capitano made the following comment | Jun 6, 2008 8:53:07 AM | Permalink

Ed Morrisey points to a new development on the Israeli-Iran front. Maybe Obama can reacquire some street cred with the Jewish vote by supporting this:

An Israeli Cabinet minister has said the country should attack Iran if it continues with its nuclear program, a newspaper reported Friday.

The Yediot Ahronot daily quoted Shaul Mofaz as saying, “If Iran will continue with its plan to develop nuclear weapons, we will attack it.” …

Mofaz is a former defense minister and army chief. He would like to replace Prime Minister Ehud Olmert as head of the Kadima Party in light of a corruption scandal that threatens to bring Olmert down.

(4) Gregory Koster made the following comment | Jun 6, 2008 12:36:04 PM | Permalink

Dear Mr. Dyer: Fine post. The more Obama has to deal with the real world, and not the sighing press, the more his hollowness will sound. I have to confess that I didn't know the official American position is to move the embassy to Jerusalem, but we keep suspending it. Good question to ask Obama: should the US repeal the resolution directing the move? Watch him dance with that one.

Sincerely yours,
Gregory Koster

(5) Fritz J. made the following comment | Jun 6, 2008 8:33:34 PM | Permalink

Excellent post. It reminded me that I had forgotten it is U.S. policy to move the embassy. Sadly Sen. Obama is lacking in foreign policy knowledge and that he may well end up being president. I can only hope that his advisers will be more knowledgeable on the subject than he is should he win.

(6) Beldar made the following comment | Jun 7, 2008 3:34:22 AM | Permalink

Fritz: What scares me is that his foreign policy advisers presumably vetted his scripted remarks to AIPAC. Either he didn't catch their flub, or they didn't catch his. But the whole affair points to incompetency on both parts!

(7) hunter made the following comment | Jun 7, 2008 10:23:46 AM | Permalink

Here is the best summary of Obama's speechifying yet:
"My friends, we live in the greatest nation in the history of the world. I hope you’ll join with me as we try to change it.”

(8) Fritz J. made the following comment | Jun 8, 2008 10:59:31 AM | Permalink

Sorry I wasn't more clear. I understand and agree that his campaign advisers should have known better, but I was hoping that his actual cabinet picks will be more knowledgeable should he win the election. My personal opinion is that Sen. Obama would be a total disaster as president, likely even worse than Carter. I understand that all of the candidates say things in order to get elected, but Sen. Obama shows a deficiency of knowledge about most subjects that I have never seen in a nominated candidate before.

(9) Carol Herman made the following comment | Jun 11, 2008 10:22:30 PM | Permalink

There are plenty of arabs living in Israel. Plenty more, when you add the West Bank. And, if you don't see the problem ... perhaps I can explain it this way. It's as if suddenly instead of a border with Mexico, we woke up to discover Mexico was in Texas!

Even in the beginning, when Ben Gurion was given the chore of forming a country, he had to deal with every 10th man being an arab. So, out the windcow went the idea Americans have of districts. The Jews would have been overwhelmed.

This is still a threat. When you hear the "Palestinians" say they want ONE state, they're saying they want to be "included" into Israel. Because they outnumer the Jews.

While Jerusalem, in particular, is one of these cities that the Pope also thinks of as "his." Along with all the muslims who live there, too.

The streets are narrow.

And, as my son said when he was there for a visit; "besides being 3000 years old, there are no toilets." Lots of buildings just have pipes in the ground, and bricks you stand on. In lots of places you can't even get a car to drive through.

But on the roads where you can get cars to drive through, the orthodox took over! You cannot drive on the Sabbath. PERIOD. Because a lot of them sit on metal chairs, in the middle of the roadways. Blocking traffic.

They also forbid pork to be served. This works for the muslims, too.

But if you think you can put an American Embassy into this "hot bed" I disagree. The building would attract all sorts of nuts. Who would even forbid catering trucks from entering. Let alone, not abiding by the Saturday no-traffic rules.

Sure, I've heard presidential candidates say they were "going to put an Embassy in Jerusalem." But this is just said to get votes.

Meanwhile, Tel Aviv is a vibrant city! Alive. And, the kind of a city diplomats prefer. Why you have movie theaters. And, cafes serving bacon, and pork. Breaking no known secular laws.

As to who will win in November? I think Obama's being black is a handicap all its own. But my son says to young kids, today, they want to see him win.

In the past? The 18 year olds didn't go and vote. But you always see old people voting. (This didn't help Gore in Florida. Because they couldn't fiture out the "butterfly ballot.") End of Story #1.

There will be no Embassies going up in Jerusalem, in the near future. End of Story #2.

On the other hand? Just like religion, you can believe what you want. And, you can even think you know how future events will turn out. I just don't.

(10) Carol Herman made the following comment | Jun 11, 2008 10:25:08 PM | Permalink

There are plenty of arabs living in Israel. Plenty more, when you add the West Bank. And, if you don't see the problem ... perhaps I can explain it this way. It's as if suddenly instead of a border with Mexico, we woke up to discover Mexico was in Texas!

Even in the beginning, when Ben Gurion was given the chore of forming a country, he had to deal with every 10th man being an arab. So, out the windcow went the idea Americans have of districts. The Jews would have been overwhelmed.

This is still a threat. When you hear the "Palestinians" say they want ONE state, they're saying they want to be "included" into Israel. Because they outnumer the Jews.

While Jerusalem, in particular, is one of these cities that the Pope also thinks of as "his." Along with all the muslims who live there, too.

The streets are narrow.

And, as my son said when he was there for a visit; "besides being 3000 years old, there are no toilets." Lots of buildings just have pipes in the ground, and bricks you stand on. In lots of places you can't even get a car to drive through.

But on the roads where you can get cars to drive through, the orthodox took over! You cannot drive on the Sabbath. PERIOD. Because a lot of them sit on metal chairs, in the middle of the roadways. Blocking traffic.

They also forbid pork to be served. This works for the muslims, too.

But if you think you can put an American Embassy into this "hot bed" I disagree. The building would attract all sorts of nuts. Who would even forbid catering trucks from entering. Let alone, not abiding by the Saturday no-traffic rules.

Sure, I've heard presidential candidates say they were "going to put an Embassy in Jerusalem." But this is just said to get votes.

Meanwhile, Tel Aviv is a vibrant city! Alive. And, the kind of a city diplomats prefer. Why you have movie theaters. And, cafes serving bacon, and pork. Breaking no known secular laws.

As to who will win in November? I think Obama's being black is a handicap all its own. But my son says to young kids, today, they want to see him win.

In the past? The 18 year olds didn't go and vote. But you always see old people voting. (This didn't help Gore in Florida. Because they couldn't fiture out the "butterfly ballot.") End of Story #1.

There will be no Embassies going up in Jerusalem, in the near future. End of Story #2.

On the other hand? Just like religion, you can believe what you want. And, you can even think you know how future events will turn out. I just don't.

The comments to this entry are closed.